OPEC Paint a Gloomy Future of Global Oil and Gas Market… as it Launched its 2021 Annual Statistical Bulletin

OPEC Paint a Gloomy Future of Global Oil and Gas Market… as it Launched its 2021 Annual Statistical Bulletin

By: VINCENT EGUNYANGA with Agency Report

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) on Thursday launched the 2021 edition of its Annual Statistical Bulletin (ASB), via videoconference.

The launch was attended by HE Mohammad Sanusi Barkindo, OPEC Secretary General; Professor Thomas Lindner of the Executive Academy at the Vienna University of Economics and Business; as well as Members of Management at the Secretariat.

It was  livestreamed via the Organization’s website and official YouTube account.
In its 56 edition, the ASB continues to provide a wide range of data on the global oil  and gas industry, in addition to key economic indicators, serving as a leading industry  reference for reliable and timely information for various industry stakeholders,  including policymakers, academics and industry analysts.

The publication contains time-series data detailing key aspects of the petroleum industry, such as production,
demand, imports, exports, exploration, transportation and refining.

It also features key statistics on the oil and gas activities in OPEC’s 13 Member Countries: Algeria, Angola, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, IR Iran, Iraq, Kuwait,
Libya, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Venezuela.

In his remarks, the Secretary General emphasized the crucial importance of data  accuracy and transparency to supporting stability in the global oil market.

“We at OPEC are dedicated to enhancing data transparency through broad  dissemination of accurate and timely oil and gas data, not only for the ASB, but for all  of our publications,” he stated. “Indeed, maintaining transparency in all that we do  underpins our core goal of establishing sustainable oil market stability.”

The opening remarks were followed by a panel discussion led by Ms. Boshra AlSeiari,  Head of OPEC’s Data Services Department, focusing on the publication’s key
highlights, including:

Total world crude oil production declined in 2020 by 6.15 million barrels per day  (mb/d), or 8.2 per cent, as compared to 2019, to average 69.09 mb/d, marking a
historical year-on-year drop notably after the outbreak of the COVID-19  pandemic. OPEC crude oil production declined sharply year-on-year by 3.72  mb/d, or 12.7 per cent, while crude production by non-OPEC countries fell by  2.43 mb/d, or 5.3 per cent.

· With an average of 90.73 mb/d in 2020, world oil demand was heavily impacted
by the COVID-19 pandemic and fell by a historic 9.30 mb/d y-o-y. OECD oil
demand fell sharply in 2020, while in the non-OECD it declined for the first year  in history. Oil demand in OPEC Member Countries was sluggish in 2020, losing 8.2 per cent y-o-y. Distillates and gasoline accounted for around 55.1 per cent of 2020 world oil demand with a steep downward trend, amid COVID-19 containment measures. Residual fuel oil requirements were about 7.1 per cent of total oil demand in 2020.

· OPEC Member Countries exported an average of 19.70 mb/d of crude oil in 2020,  a sharp decrease of about 2.78 mb/d, or 12.4 per cent, compared to 2019 and  marking the fourth consecutive annual decline.

Following the pattern in previous  years, the bulk of crude oil from OPEC Member Countries – 14.43 mb/d or 73.2
per cent – was exported to Asia, particularly China and India. Considerable  volumes of crude oil – about 3.13 mb/d – were also exported to OECD Europe in  2020, which, however, represents a decline compared with 3.74 mb/d recorded in  2019. OECD Americas imported 0.84 mb/d of crude oil from OPEC Member  Countries, which was about 0.38 mb/d, or 31.1 per cent, less than the 2019
volumes.

· Exports of petroleum products from OPEC Member Countries averaged 3.48  mb/d during 2020, down by around 0.40 mb/d, or 10.4 per cent, compared to 2019. Imports of petroleum products by OPEC Member Countries averaged at 1.52 mb/d in 2020, roughly 0.17 mb/d, or 9.8 per cent, lower than in 2019.

· World proven crude oil reserves stood at 1,549 billion barrels at the end of 2020, increasing by 0.2 per cent from the level of 1,546 billion barrels recorded at the  end of 2019. Proven crude oil reserves in OPEC Member Countries increased by  0.3 per cent to 1,237 billion barrels at the end of 2020, following a firm increase
during 2019.

· At the end of 2020, world proven natural gas reserves fell by 0.4 per cent to  approximately 206.7 trillion standard cubic metres (cu m). Proven natural gas reserves in OPEC Member Countries stood at 73.74 tr standard cu m at the end of 2020, down 1.4 per cent from the level at the end of 2019. World refinery capacity shrank by 0.3 m barrels/calendar day (b/cd) to stand at 101.1 m b/cd during 2020. The non-OECD region, particularly China, other Asia and the Middle East, recorded refining capacity additions. Refinery capacity in the OECD declined sharply in 2020, as compared to 2019. Globally, refinery throughput fell by a historic 9.1 per cent to reach 78.0 mb/d in 2020, amid bearish oil demand during the COVID-19 pandemic.

· The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $41.47/b in nominal terms during 2020,down from $64.04/b in 2019, a strong decrease of $22.57/b, or 35.2 per cent. The volatility level was $12.55/b, or 30.3 per cent, relative to the yearly average.

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